That’s based on comments by Suncor Energy’s Mark Little on Thursday morning during a conference call with the investment community about the plethora of pipeline developments recently, including regulatory and court decisions.
Little was encouraged about the Trans Mountain expansion project, which has cleared more court hurdles, and construction continues in Alberta and British Columbia on the project, which will transport oil from Edmonton to the Vancouver area.
“Trans Mountain is looking better than it ever has,” he said. “They’re talking about it being on in late 2022. If it’s 2022 or out to mid-2023, it’s in good shape.”
About the prospects on Keystone XL, Little sounded less optimistic.
Earlier this month, a U.S. Supreme Court decision supported a lower court ruling that blocked a key environmental permit for the controversial Keystone XL pipeline — a decision that will continue to delay large portions of construction on the 1,947-kilometre project.
Asked by an analyst during the conference call to assess various pipeline projects, Little chuckled as he brought up Keystone XL.
“And then Keystone XL, [laughs] I don’t know, seems like it’s becoming a significant part of the discussion on the politics side.”
Listen to the analyst’s question followed by Mark Little’s response about recent pipeline developments:
The latest court ruling is just another setback for the project, which was first announced in 2008.
“[TC Energy is] working through these latest court rulings, so it’s delaying any of the construction across the waterways, but I think if you go talk to TC, they’re still plowing ahead and working hard to make this thing happen, so there’s lots of resolve there to keep going,” Little said.
Some experts have said there is less than a 50 per cent chance the project is actually completed, especially considering the U.S. presidential election later this year. U.S. President Donald Trump has been a strong supporter of the Keystone XL project, but his opponent, Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, has said he would tear up Trump’s approval of the pipeline if he wins the White House.
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney has praised the project for the potential job creation in the province and the additional export capacity it would provide to oil producers. The Alberta government’s invested $1.1 billion US in the Keystone XL pipeline, plus $4.2-billion in loan guarantees.
Calgary-based TC Energy has said it will continue building the Canadian leg of the project while fighting the legal battle south of the border.
The federal government purchased the Trans Mountain project in 2018, as developer Kinder Morgan said it faced too much uncertainty with the proposal. Before the sale, the company had temporarily halted work as opposition by the British Columbia government, in particular, escalated.
Suncor is a committed shipper on both projects.
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